Doing RBs right on our fantasy team is the struggle for every year, you need to consider a safe floor, they often get injured, and it is really easy to get mezmerized by upside, that never comes.
What should you assess before picking RBs?
- Avoid injury
- Overall Talent
- Good support (offensive line)
- Have a big segment of the opportunities
- Have a lot of touches (carries+receiving)
- Be the first choice in the RedZone
In this case we are going to take a look at the segment, the touch and the RedZone chances of an RBs in 2020. (Please check out the table at the end for the detailed data)
So the goal is to avoid the RBBCs (Running back by committee) and find your clear cut RB1, with a safe floor and huge upside, with consistency.
RBBCs are really taking over the league, but they are not scary because a team is using a lot or RBs, it is more about sharing the oportunities equally. Of course, it is not enough to just tabulate the used RBs over the year, that is not really telling us anything. It just shows, what teams were more injury riddled, and have inconsistencies in the running back position. So lets exclude the players, who played less the 8 games. For the leftover players, we are assuming they were not just any injury replacement, they were used based on talent and the run play system.
This is giving us a better picture, but still we need to see what segment did the RB cover. In this context, what percentage of the RB carries went to the player. So this is where you really find your RB1.
Of course you have the avious choose like Montgomery, Robinson, Cook or Henry. But getting a workhorse back is not easy. Since only 7 team had an RB with over 66% of the RB carries, these players were in the Top 10 fantasy RB range, and Elliot was RB11 (strandard points) end of the year. So this could give you a safe floor for your team. Of course you can see outliers as well to either side.
Taylor and Aaron Jones had only 50% of the RB carries. Taylor was an RB1 in the end of the season, when he collected most of his yards and TDs, and Jones was really one of the most effectice running back last year in that soft committee.
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Opposite to this is the Jets or Chiefs. Both RBs had a high RB segment, Frank Gore and Clyde Edwards-Helaire had the carries, but they had issues mainly with the TDs, and the volumen as well, but thats for another article.
Next we are going to cover volument and RedZones utilization.
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